Design of a Novel Information System for Semi-automated Management of Cybersecurity in Industrial Control Systems

2023 | ACM Transactions on Management Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Ameri, Kimia; Hempel, Michael; Sharif, Hamid; Lopez, Juan; Perumalla, Kalyan

Abstract: There is an urgent need in many critical infrastructure sectors, including the e ... Expand

Abstract: There is an urgent need in many critical infrastructure sectors, including the energy sector, for attaining detailed insights into cybersecurity features and compliance with cybersecurity requirements related to their Operational Technology (OT) deployments. Frequent feature changes of OT devices interfere with this need, posing a great risk to customers. One effective way to address this challenge is via a semi-automated cyber-physical security assurance approach, which enables verification and validation of the OT device cybersecurity claims against actual capabilities, both pre- and post-deployment. To realize this approach, this article presents new methodology and algorithms to automatically identify cybersecurity-related claims expressed in natural language form in ICS device documents. We developed an identification process that employs natural language processing (NLP) techniques with the goal of semi-automated vetting of detected claims against their device implementation. We also present our novel NLP components for verifying feature claims against relevant cybersecurity requirements. The verification pipeline includes components such as automated vendor identification, device document curation, feature claim identification utilizing sentiment analysis for conflict resolution, and reporting of features that are claimed to be supported or indicated as unsupported. Our novel matching engine represents the first automated information system available in the cybersecurity domain that directly aids the generation of ICS compliance reports. Collapse

Topics: IT security database system website Python electronic authentication

Methods: computational algorithm sentiment analysis natural language processing BERT language model

Single-Sourcing vs. Multisourcing: An Empirical Analysis of Large Information Technology Outsourcing Arrangements

2023 | Information Systems Research | Citations: 0

Authors: Bapna, Ravi; Gupta, Alok; Ray, Gautam; Singh, Shweta

Abstract: As the information technology (IT) services landscape matures, clients are incre ... Expand

Abstract: As the information technology (IT) services landscape matures, clients are increasingly adopting multisourcing arrangements that involve multiple vendors. Although a large body of information systems (IS) literature addresses issues of whether to outsource (to a single vendor), what types of contracts to use, and how to achieve optimal relational governance, little is known about the antecedents and consequents of the single versus multisourcing decision. Moreover, while conceptual and analytical models of single-sourcing versus multisourcing have been developed, there is no empirical IS research using a large-scale data set with rigorous econometric analysis that examines the antecedents and consequents of multisourcing in the IT context. This paper fills this void, using the transaction cost economic lens and a data set of 49,057 large IT outsourcing arrangements that spans multiple industries and dates back 25 years. We find that there is a curvilinear relationship between number of IT services in an IT outsourcing arrangement and the likelihood of multisourcing. This relationship increases as the number of IT services increases to up to five services and then decreases. For managers who plan to multisource IT outsourcing arrangements, this research provides guidance to minimize exchange hazards through a better understanding of the relationship between sourcing choice, client IT outsourcing capabilities, the competitiveness of the vendor landscape, and the number of IT services in an IT outsourcing arrangement. We provide empirical evidence that the choice between single-sourcing and multisourcing is material to the performance of outsourcing contracts as an incorrect sourcing choice is likely to result in negative contract outcomes. History: Paul A. Pavlou, Senior Editor; Ning Su, Associate Editor. Collapse

Topics: outsourcing system integration IS management service desk data center

Methods: XGBoost robustness check machine learning k-nearest neighbor statistical hypothesis test

Theories: transaction cost economics game theory

A Signal Detection Theory Approach for Predicting Immunity to Pandemic Vaccine Fake News

2023 | HICSS | Citations: 0

Authors: Barajas, J.; John, R.

Abstract: Managing a contagious disease pandemic, such as , requires that the public unde ... Expand

Abstract: Managing a contagious disease pandemic, such as , requires that the public understand and cooperate with behavioral guidelines to reduce viral transmission. This research uses Signal Detection Theory (SDT) to explore how U.S. adults distinguish between true and false information related to COVID-19 vaccines. A total of 372 U.S. adults categorized 17 true and 17 false COVID-19 vaccine headlines. Item Response Theory analyses suggest that the ability to identify true information about the pandemic is a construct that can be reliably measured with our novel methodology. Signal Detection Theory analyses indicate high accuracy (AUC = 0.861), with no bias favoring either true or false responses. Overall, U.S. adults correctly classified 7 of 10 true and 8 of 10 false headlines. Multiple regression analyses on individual performance metrics reveal substantially lower accuracy among conservatives and those with lower scores on a measure of Actively Open-minded Thinking. Implications and limitations of these findings within the pandemic news context are discussed. Collapse

Topics: misinformation fake news pandemic social media covid 19

Methods: machine learning survey multiple linear regression survey design regression analysis method

Theories: signal detection theory

COVIDAL: A Machine Learning Classifier for Digital COVID-19 Diagnosis in German Hospitals

2023 | ACM Transactions on Management Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Bartenschlager, Christina C.; Ebel, Stefanie S.; Kling, Sebastian; Vehreschild, Janne; Zabel, Lutz T.; Spinner, Christoph D.; Schuler, Andreas; Heller, Axel R.; Borgmann, Stefan; Hoffmann, Reinhard; Rieg, Siegbert; Messmann, Helmut; Hower, Martin; Brunner, Jens O.; Hanses, Frank; Römmele, Christoph

Abstract: For the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, it is particularly important to map ... Expand

Abstract: For the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, it is particularly important to map the course of infection, in terms of patients who have currently tested SARS-CoV-2 positive, as accurately as possible. In hospitals, this is even more important because resources have become scarce. Although polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and point of care (POC) antigen testing capacities have been massively expanded, they are often very time-consuming and cost-intensive and, in some cases, lack appropriate performance. To meet these challenges, we propose the COVIDAL classifier for AI-based diagnosis of symptomatic COVID-19 subjects in hospitals based on laboratory parameters. We evaluate the algorithm's performance by unique multicenter data with approximately 4,000 patients and an extraordinary high ratio of SARS-CoV-2-positive patients. We analyze the influence of data preparation, flexibility in optimization targets, as well as the selection of the test set on the COVIDAL outcome. The algorithm is compared with standard AI, PCR, POC antigen testing and manual classifications of seven physicians by a decision theoretic scoring model including performance metrics, turnaround times and cost. Thereby, we define health care settings in which a certain classifier for COVID-19 diagnosis is to be applied. We find sensitivities, specificities, and accuracies of the COVIDAL algorithm of up to 90 percent. Our scoring model suggests using PCR testing for a focus on performance metrics. For turnaround times, POC antigen testing should be used. If balancing performance, turnaround times, and cost is of interest, as, for example, in the emergency department, COVIDAL is superior based on the scoring model. Collapse

Topics: artificial intelligence mobile application pandemic logistics management data integration

Methods: computational algorithm machine learning normalization data transformation support vector machine artificial neural network

Optimizing Substance Use Treatment Selection Using Reinforcement Learning

2023 | ACM Transactions on Management Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Baucum, Matt; Khojandi, Anahita; Myers, Carole; Kessler, Larry

Abstract: Substance use disorder (SUD) exacts a substantial economic and social cost in th ... Expand

Abstract: Substance use disorder (SUD) exacts a substantial economic and social cost in the United States, and it is crucial for SUD treatment providers to match patients with feasible, effective, and affordable treatment plans. The availability of large SUD patient datasets allows for machine learning techniques to predict patient-level SUD outcomes, yet there has been almost no research on whether machine learning can be used to optimize or personalize which treatment plans SUD patients receive. We use contextual bandits (a reinforcement learning technique) to optimally map patients to SUD treatment plans, based on dozens of patient-level and geographic covariates. We also use near-optimal policies to incorporate treatments’ time-intensiveness and cost into our recommendations, to aid treatment providers and policymakers in allocating treatment resources. Our personalized treatment recommendation policies are estimated to yield higher remission rates than observed in our original dataset, and they suggest clinical insights to inform future research on data-driven SUD treatment matching. Collapse

Topics: electronic health record individual characteristic healthcare data missing data

Methods: hazard function machine learning random forest classification descriptive statistic propensity score method

Human-machine collaboration for feature selection and integration to improve congestive Heart failure risk prediction

2023 | Decision Support Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Ben-Assuli, Ofir; Heart, Tsipi; Klempfner, Robert; Padman, Rema

Abstract: The issue of harnessing machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of a ... Expand

Abstract: The issue of harnessing machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of adverse medical events is important considering the prevalence of vast repositories of patient-level medical data, and the quest to reduce healthcare costs while elevating the quality of care. Of particular interest is identifying a set of features that can better predict the risk of unplanned readmissions of chronically ill patients within 30 days post discharge, among them patients with Congestive Heart Failure (CHF). While numerous studies have employed ML algorithms to identify sets of significant features, only a handful have compared features extracted by various methods, and even fewer have compared the predictive power of feature sets selected by human experts to those selected by ML. Hence, this research aimed to elicit a comprehensive feature set selected by four ML algorithms and compare its predictive performance to that of a feature set selected by experts. We then evaluated a merged list of the two feature sets, constructing a human-machine collaborative set to predict the likelihood of 30-day unplanned readmission of CHF patients using data on 10,763 CHF patients hospitalized during the years 2010–2017. Our models achieved Area under the ROC Curve (AUC) above 0.8 and an Accuracy of ~0.89, comparable to the best models in the extant literature. Moreover, the Human-Machine Collaborative model significantly outperformed (best AUC 0.836) other human-only selected models as well as the machine-selected set. This study contributes to a better understanding of the power of using ML for patient risk stratification with special attention to the benefits of human-machine collaboration, even when these two entities work separately or in parallel, for improved clinical decision making. Collapse

Topics: healthcare data decision making big data missing data data warehouse

Methods: machine learning computational algorithm XGBoost descriptive statistic random forest classification

Analyzing Patients’ EHR: Predicting and Explaining Admission Consequences for COPD and Liver Disease Patients

2023 | International Conference on Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Ben-Assuli, Ofir; Geva, Gaya

Abstract: This study analyzed the admission outcomes in chronic patients (with COPD, and ... Expand

Abstract: This study analyzed the admission outcomes in chronic patients (with COPD, and Liver disease) to demonstrate the feasibility of applying prediction methods on EHR records while incorporating an explainable AI technique. We predicted three target variables: 30-day readmission, Medium&Long Length of Stay and Single-day admission and analyzed the features using an explainable AI technique, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The results show that Readmission had higher prediction scores than all other dependent variables. Some features affected all target variables with either positive or negative influence including: Age, Charlson comorbidity index, Day-Shift, Gender, using EHR screens and Insurance cover level. These findings thus point to the value of using Machine-Learning combined with an explainable AI method to understand and assess the risks factors. The assessment of the potential factors leading to multiple complications can bolster prevention-oriented medical decisions to groups of patients but can also be tailored to the patient level. Collapse

Topics: shapley additive explanation explainable artificial intelligence Python IT work artificial intelligence

Methods: machine learning XGBoost logistic regression artificial neural network classification method

A Theory-Driven Deep Learning Method for Voice Chat–Based Customer Response Prediction

2023 | Information Systems Research | Citations: 0

Authors: Chen, Gang; Xiao, Shuaiyong; Zhang, Chenghong; Zhao, Huimin

Abstract: As artificial intelligence and digitalization technologies are flourishing real- ... Expand

Abstract: As artificial intelligence and digitalization technologies are flourishing real-time, online interaction–based commercial modes, exploiting customers’ purchase intention implied in online interaction processes may foster huge business opportunities. In this study, we target the task of voice chat–based customer response prediction in an emerging online interaction–based commercial mode, the invite-online-and-experience-in-store mode. Prior research shows that satisfaction, which can be revealed by the discrepancy between prior expectation and actual experience, is a key factor to disentangle customers’ purchase intention, whereas black-box deep learning methods empirically promise us advantageous capabilities in dealing with complex voice data, for example, text and audio information incorporated in voice chat. To this end, we propose a theory-driven deep learning method that enables us to (1) learn customers’ personalized product preferences and dynamic satisfaction in the absence of their profile information, (2) model customers’ actual experiences based on multiview voice chat information in an interlaced way, and (3) enhance the customer response prediction performance of a black-box deep learning model with theory-driven dynamic satisfaction. Empirical evaluation results demonstrate the advantageous prediction performance of our proposed method over state-of-the-art deep learning alternatives. Investigation of cumulative satisfaction reveals the collaborative predictive roles of theory-driven dynamic satisfaction and deep representation features for customer response prediction. Explanatory analysis further renders insights into customers’ personalized preferences and dynamic satisfaction for key product attributes. History: Yong Tan, Senior Editor; Jingjing Zhang, Associate Editor. Funding: This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 71971067 and 72271059] and the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation [Grant 2022M722394]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/isre.2022.1196. Collapse

Topics: customer satisfaction willingness to pay decision making marketing information system customer service

Methods: deep learning experiment machine learning BERT theory development

Trust and deception with high stakes: Evidence from the friend or foe dataset

2023 | Decision Support Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Chen, Xunyu; Wang, Xinran; Spitzley, Lee; Nunamaker, Jay

Abstract: Many social interactions rely on the premise of mutual trust, but deception viol ... Expand

Abstract: Many social interactions rely on the premise of mutual trust, but deception violates trust and poses risk. Empirically examining trust and deception, particularly in high-stakes situations, is challenging but essential for improving the research realism and generalizability. To address this difficulty, we study trusting and deceptive behaviors in a high-stakes situation by using a novel dataset created from an American game show, Friend or Foe (FoF). In the show, a contestant's reward was determined through a trust game modified from the prisoner's dilemma. We explore how numerous human behaviors including facial expressions, gaze, head pose, body motion, language, and socio-demographic attributes, were related to a contestant's trusting or deceptive decision. Using a data-driven approach, we find that the deceivers' (contestants who chose Foe) behavior featured a neutralized face, negative facial emotions, enhanced upper body motion, and language with a lower sense of immediacy and agreeableness. The contestants who chose to trust (chose Friend) exhibited opposite behavioral patterns. Socio-demographic factors such as age, height, and facial attractiveness were also associated with a contestant's choice. Combining multimodal information, machine learning classifiers could predict the contes­ tant's choice with an accuracy about 25% greater than earlier reported human accuracy. We contribute to both trust and deception literature by examining the generalizability of trusting and deceptive behaviors to a new high-stakes scenario. We also add to the decision support literature by showing the superior predictive perfor­ mances of combining behavioral and socio-demographic features. Furthermore, we contribute to the academic community by introducing the FoF dataset. Collapse

Topics: decision support website YouTube Python decision making

Methods: meta analysis support vector machine correlation analysis descriptive statistic random forest classification

Stand for Something or Fall for Everything: Predict Misinformation Spread with Stance-Aware Graph Neural Networks

2023 | International Conference on Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Chen, Zihan; Sun, Jingyi; Liu, Rong Emily; Mai, Feng

Abstract: Although pervasive spread of misinformation on social media platforms has becom ... Expand

Abstract: Although pervasive spread of misinformation on social media platforms has become a pressing challenge, existing platform interventions have shown limited success in curbing its dissemination. In this study, we propose a stance-aware graph neural network (stance-aware GNN) that leverages users' stances to proactively predict misinformation spread. As different user stances can form unique echo chambers, we customize four information passing paths in stance-aware GNN, while the trainable attention weights provide explainability by highlighting each structure's importance. Evaluated on a realworld dataset, stance-aware GNN outperforms benchmarks by 32.65% and exceeds advanced GNNs without user stance by over 4.69%. Furthermore, the attention weights indicate that users' opposition stances have a higher impact on their neighbors' behaviors than supportive ones, which function as social correction to halt misinformation propagation. Overall, our study provides an effective predictive model for platforms to combat misinformation, and highlights the impact of user stances in the misinformation propagation. Collapse

Topics: misinformation Twitter filter bubble social media social influence

Methods: machine learning RoBERTa experiment deep learning graph neural network