Human-machine collaboration for feature selection and integration to improve congestive Heart failure risk prediction

2023 | Decision Support Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Ben-Assuli, Ofir; Heart, Tsipi; Klempfner, Robert; Padman, Rema

Abstract: The issue of harnessing machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of a ... Expand

Abstract: The issue of harnessing machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of adverse medical events is important considering the prevalence of vast repositories of patient-level medical data, and the quest to reduce healthcare costs while elevating the quality of care. Of particular interest is identifying a set of features that can better predict the risk of unplanned readmissions of chronically ill patients within 30 days post discharge, among them patients with Congestive Heart Failure (CHF). While numerous studies have employed ML algorithms to identify sets of significant features, only a handful have compared features extracted by various methods, and even fewer have compared the predictive power of feature sets selected by human experts to those selected by ML. Hence, this research aimed to elicit a comprehensive feature set selected by four ML algorithms and compare its predictive performance to that of a feature set selected by experts. We then evaluated a merged list of the two feature sets, constructing a human-machine collaborative set to predict the likelihood of 30-day unplanned readmission of CHF patients using data on 10,763 CHF patients hospitalized during the years 2010–2017. Our models achieved Area under the ROC Curve (AUC) above 0.8 and an Accuracy of ~0.89, comparable to the best models in the extant literature. Moreover, the Human-Machine Collaborative model significantly outperformed (best AUC 0.836) other human-only selected models as well as the machine-selected set. This study contributes to a better understanding of the power of using ML for patient risk stratification with special attention to the benefits of human-machine collaboration, even when these two entities work separately or in parallel, for improved clinical decision making. Collapse

Topics: healthcare data decision making big data missing data data warehouse

Methods: machine learning computational algorithm XGBoost descriptive statistic random forest classification

Business Inferences and Risk Modeling with Machine Learning; The case of Aviation Incidents

2023 | HICSS | Citations: 0

Authors: Cankaya, B.; Topuz, K.; Glassman, A.

Abstract: Machine learning becomes truly valuable only when decision-makers begin to depe ... Expand

Abstract: Machine learning becomes truly valuable only when decision-makers begin to depend on it to optimize decisions. Instilling trust in machine learning is critical for businesses in their efforts to interpret and get insights into data, and to make their analytical choices accessible and subject to accountability. In the field of aviation, the innovative application of machine learning and analytics can facilitate an understanding of the risk of accidents and other incidents. These occur infrequently, generally in an irregular, unpredictable manner, and cause significant disruptions, and hence, they are classified as "highimpact, low-probability" (HILP) events. Aviation incident reports are inspected by experts, but it is also important to have a comprehensive overview of incidents and their holistic effects. This study provides an interpretable machine-learning framework for predicting aircraft damage. In addition, it describes patterns of flight specifications detected through the use of a simulation tool and illuminates the underlying reasons for specific aviation accidents. As a result, we can predict the aircraft damage with 85% accuracy and 84% in-class accuracy. Most important, we simulate a combination of possible flight-type, aircraft-type, and pilot-expertise combinations to arrive at insights, and we recommend actions that can be taken by aviation stakeholders, such as airport managers, airlines, flight training companies, and aviation policy makers. In short, we combine predictive results with simulations to interpret findings and prescribe actions.A machine-learning (ML) algorithm was chosen for its fast performance, short run-time, and interpretability. The ML algorithms were compared and evaluated on a confusion matrix for their mean receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), Collapse

Topics: decision making decision support system graphical user interface usability missing data

Methods: simulation machine learning multinomial logistic regression computational algorithm support vector machine

Understanding Emojis for Financial Sentiment Analysis

2023 | International Conference on Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Chen, Siyi; Xing, Frank

Abstract: ... Expand

Abstract: Collapse

Topics: application programming interface social media website cryptocurrency Python

Methods: sentiment analysis machine learning BERT deep learning experiment

Trust in Online Ride-Sharing Transactions: Impacts of Heterogeneous Order Features

2023 | Journal of Management Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Cheng, Xusen; Fu, Shixuan; Sun, Jianshan; Zuo, Meiyun; Meng, Xiangsong

Abstract: With the development of the sharing economy, online ride-sharing has become a pr ... Expand

Abstract: With the development of the sharing economy, online ride-sharing has become a primary form of commuting. Using secondary transaction data, this study investigates the associations between the heterogeneous features and mutual trust in sharing economy-driven online ride-sharing transactions. Based on an examination of 12,404 ride-sharing orders in Beijing, we propose a set of trust distribution maps using order location data to reveal heterogeneous spatial patterns of the relationship between online ride-sharing transactions and mutual trust. The results show that the historical order completion rate and order distance are positively associated with mutual trust in ride-sharing transactions, whereas order time and departure density negatively and significantly influence mutual trust. Furthermore, we use machine learning algorithms to predict trust. The implications for theory and practice and future research directions are discussed. Collapse

Topics: ride sharing platform sharing platform logistics management geographic information system online review

Methods: machine learning computational algorithm regression analysis method experiment exploratory data analysis

Theories: signaling theory

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-AUGMENTED DECISION MAKING IN SUPPLY CHAIN MONITORING: AN ACTION DESIGN RESEARCH STUDY

2023 | European Conference On Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Herath Pathirannehelage, Savindu; Jóhannsson, Jóhann; Shrestha, Yash; Krogh, Georg von

Abstract: Organizations are progressively adopting hybrid human-artificial intelligence ( ... Expand

Abstract: Organizations are progressively adopting hybrid human-artificial intelligence (AI) systems in decisionmaking processes, with human decisions being augmented by AI insights. Among the promising AI applications in supply chain monitoring (SCMo) are predictive maintenance systems that predict potential device failures and augment maintenance decisions, allowing for timely and efficient interventions. Despite the growing proliferation of such systems, prescriptive knowledge encompassing technical, business, and organizational aspects on how to design, develop, and deploy them in actual operational environments remains limited. To address this shortcoming of evidence-based design principles in practice, our action design research developed a predictive maintenance system that predicts SCMo device failures and augments the maintenance decisions about those devices. By doing so, we outline generalizable design principles to guide prospective predictive maintenance systems in SCMo. Collapse

Topics: artificial intelligence predictive maintenance organizational context decision making systems evaluation

Methods: machine learning design principle design artifact artificial neural network random forest classification

Theories: evidence-based design

Responsible Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare: Predicting and Preventing Insurance Claim Denials for Economic and Social Wellbeing

2023 | Information Systems Frontiers | Citations: 1

Authors: Johnson, Marina; Albizri, Abdullah; Harfouche, Antoine

Abstract: It is estimated that one out of seven health insurance claims is rejected in the ... Expand

Abstract: It is estimated that one out of seven health insurance claims is rejected in the US; hospitals across the country lose approximately $262 billion annually due to denied claims. This widespread problem causes huge cash-flow issues and overburdens patients. Thus, preventing claim denials before claims are submitted to insurers improves profitability, accelerates the revenue cycle, and supports patients’ wellbeing. This study utilizes Design Science Research (DSR) paradigm and develops a Responsible Artificial Intelligence (RAI) solution helping hospital administrators identify potentially denied claims. Guided by five principles, this framework utilizes six AI algorithms – classified as white-box and glass-box – and employs cross-validation to tune hyperparameters and determine the best model. The results show that a white-box algorithm (AdaBoost) model yields an AUC rate of 0.83, outperforming all other models. This research’s primary implications are to (1) help providers reduce operational costs and increase the efficiency of insurance claim processes (2) help patients focus on their recovery instead of dealing with appealing claims. Collapse

Topics: artificial intelligence ADA missing data partial dependence plot responsible artificial intelligence

Methods: machine learning computational algorithm experiment support vector machine design artifact

ROLEX: A Novel Method for Interpretable Machine Learning Using Robust Local Explanations

2023 | Management Information Systems Quarterly | Citations: 2

Authors: Kim, Buomsoo (Raymond); Srinivasan, Karthik; Kong, Sung Hye; Kim, Jung Hee; Shin, Chan Soo; Ram, Sudha

Abstract: Recent developments in big data technologies are revolutionizing the field of h ... Expand

Abstract: Recent developments in big data technologies are revolutionizing the field of healthcare predictive analytics (HPA), enabling researchers to explore challenging problems using complex prediction models. Nevertheless, healthcare practitioners are reluctant to adopt those models as they are less transparent and accountable due to their black-box structure. We believe that instance-level, or local, explanations enhance patient safety and foster trust by enabling patient-level interpretations and medical knowledge discovery. Therefore, we propose the RObust Local EXplanations (ROLEX) method to develop robust, instance-level explanations for HPA models in this study. ROLEX adapts state-of-the-art methods and ameliorates their shortcomings in explaining individual-level predictions made by black-box machine learning models. Our analysis with a large real-world dataset related to a prevalent medical condition called fragility fracture and two publicly available healthcare datasets reveals that ROLEX outperforms widely accepted benchmark methods in terms of local faithfulness of explanations. In addition, ROLEX is more robust since it does not rely on extensive hyperparameter tuning or heuristic algorithms. Explanations generated by ROLEX, along with the prototype user interface presented in this study, have the potential to promote personalized care and precision medicine by providing patient-level interpretations and novel insights. We discuss the theoretical implications of our study in healthcare, big data, and design science. Collapse

Topics: explainable artificial intelligence usability user interface local interpretable model agnostic explanation problem solving

Methods: machine learning design artifact computational algorithm longitudinal research ablation analysis

Theories: lemon market theory

Fake review detection system for online E-commerce platforms: A supervised general mixed probability approach

2023 | Decision Support Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Luo, Jiwei; Luo, Jian; Nan, Guofang; Li, Dahui

Abstract: Online consumer reviews play an important role in helping consumers judge the qu ... Expand

Abstract: Online consumer reviews play an important role in helping consumers judge the quality and authenticity of products on e-commerce platforms. However, the constant presence of fake reviews on these platforms has significantly impacted the operation and development of e-commerce platforms. In this study, we develop a novel supervised probabilistic method to detect fake reviews by utilizing the difference in the distribution of nonfraudulent reviews and that of fake reviews. Specifically, we first derive the univariate distributions of several unique features (linguistic, behavioral, and interrelationship features). We then integrate these distributions into two mixed distributions according to their labels to represent the overall difference between non-fraudulent reviews and fake reviews. Next, we randomly generate synthetic review data points with different labels from the above mixed distributions. Finally, we train a Multilayer Perceptron model by using these synthetic review data to obtain a classifier. We conducted several experiments to test the model using several original real-world review datasets. Numerical results indicated that the proposed supervised method outperformed some wellknown sampling models and fake review detection methods, in terms of classification accuracy. Moreover, we extend the proposed method to handle the scenarios with small samples of raw review data. This study con­ tributes to the literature by exploiting the difference in the distribution of non-fraudulent reviews and that of fraudulent reviews, which can improve the accuracy of fake review detection for online platforms. Collapse

Topics: fake review electronic commerce big data decision support system user behavior

Methods: computational algorithm experiment machine learning semi-supervised learning artificial neural network

Designing Interactive Explainable AI Systems for Lay Users

2023 | International Conference on Information Systems | Citations: 0

Authors: Meza Martínez, Miguel; Mädche, Alexander

Abstract: Explainability considered a critical component of trustworthy artificial intell ... Expand

Abstract: Explainability considered a critical component of trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) systems, has been proposed to address AI systems' lack of transparency by revealing the reasons behind their decisions to lay users. However, most explainability methods developed so far provide static explanations that limit the information conveyed to lay users resulting in an insufficient understanding of how AI systems make decisions. To address this challenge and support the efforts to improve the transparency of AI systems, we conducted a design science research project to design an interactive explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) system to help lay users understand AI systems' decisions. We relied on existing knowledge in the XAI literature to propose design principles and instantiate them in an initial prototype. We then conducted an evaluation of the prototype and interviews with lay users. Our research contributes design knowledge for interactive XAI systems and provides practical guidelines for practitioners. Collapse

Topics: explainable artificial intelligence artificial intelligence shapley additive explanation open source enterprise architecture

Methods: design artifact design principle qualitative interview design requirement design science

Theories: game theory

Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating

2023 | Information & Management | Citations: 0

Authors: Thirumuruganathan, Saravanan; Emadi, Noora Al; Jung, Soon-gyo; Salminen, Joni; Robillos, Dianne Ramirez; Jansen, Bernard J.

Abstract: Employing customer information from one of the world’s largest airline companies ... Expand

Abstract: Employing customer information from one of the world’s largest airline companies, we develop a price elasticity model (PREM) using machine learning to identify customers likely to purchase an upgrade offer from economy to premium class and predict a customer’s acceptable price range. A simulation of 64.3 million flight bookings and 14.1 million email offers over three years mirroring actual data indicates that PREM implementation results in approximately 1.12 million (7.94%) fewer non-relevant customer email messages, a predicted increase of 72,200 (37.2%) offers accepted, and an estimated $72.2 million (37.2%) of increased revenue. Our results illustrate the potential of automated pricing information and targeting marketing messages for upselling acceptance. We also identified three customer segments: (1) Never Upgrades are those who never take the upgrade offer, (2) Upgrade Lovers are those who generally upgrade, and (3) Upgrade Lover Lookalikes have no historical record but fit the profile of those that tend to upgrade. We discuss the implications for airline companies and related travel and tourism industries. Collapse

Topics: electronic mail marketing management price management customer satisfaction application programming interface

Methods: autoencoder data transformation machine learning experiment principal component analysis

Theories: optimization theory decision theory